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NFLX

STOCK - No description available

$72.62
โ†‘ 1.17 (1.63%)
Last update: 2026-10-15 16:00:00
โ†’ HOLD 1-3 months
50% confidence
Last analysis: 2026-10-13 16:20

Latest Analysis

HOLD Oct 13, 2026
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Catalysts

Earnings

Last: 2026-07-16 ยท EPS 0.8 vs est 0.79

SEC filings

  • 8-K 2026-07-30 view
  • 8-K 2026-07-22 view
  • 10-Q 2026-07-17 view
  • 8-K 2026-07-16 view
  • 8-K 2026-06-05 view

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Recent Signals

Full history โ†’
Oct 13, 2026 HOLD
50%
Oct 12, 2026 HOLD

Netflix exhibits strong fundamental health, characterized by a 27.1% YoY EPS growth, a robust 28.2% profit margin, and a high 48.0% ROE. Despite these metrics, the stock is currently trading at a 22.0x P/E, which is modest for its growth profile, yet the lack of analyst consensus and recent negative price performance (-31.1% over 6 months) suggests a lack of institutional conviction. The absence of recent news or specific catalysts leaves the stock vulnerable to broader sector volatility, particularly given its high beta of 1.6 in a market favoring quality over pure beta.

55%
Oct 09, 2026 HOLD

NFLX presents a mixed profile. Fundamentally, the company maintains a solid 35% margin and 15.9% YoY revenue growth, with a P/S ratio of 0.7 suggesting potential value. However, the lack of analyst consensus and a 31.2% decline over the last six months indicate significant market skepticism. With no recent news catalysts to drive a trend reversal, the fundamental case remains neutral as the company navigates a broader market environment that currently favors quality over pure growth.

50%
Oct 08, 2026 HOLD

NFLX presents a mixed profile. Fundamentally, the company demonstrates strong quality with a 28.2% margin, 48.0% ROE, and solid growth (15.9% revenue YoY, 27.1% EPS YoY). At a 22.0x P/E, the valuation appears reasonable given the growth metrics. However, the lack of analyst consensus and absence of immediate positive catalysts leave the stock without a clear fundamental driver to break its current stagnation. The recent earnings surprise was marginal (1.2658%), failing to provide a significant momentum shift. Technically, the stock is in a STRONG_DOWNTREND, trading below all major moving averages (SMA20 at $72.00, SMA50 at $75.38, and SMA200 at $83.57). The RSI of 46.02 indicates a neutral momentum regime, while the MACD is hovering near the signal line, suggesting indecision. With volume at a negligible 0.03x of the 20-day average, the lack of conviction makes a directional bet premature. We remain on the sidelines until the price clears the $73.87 resistance or establishes a firmer base above the $66.54 support level.

55%
Oct 07, 2026 HOLD

NFLX presents a fundamental dichotomy: strong profitability with a 28.2% margin and 48.0% ROE, coupled with solid 27.1% EPS growth. However, the stock is currently trading at a 52-week low, reflecting a 30.4% decline over the last six months. With no analyst consensus or price targets available, the market lacks a clear valuation anchor. The lack of recent news or catalysts makes it difficult to justify a directional conviction despite the attractive P/E of 21.4x, as the broader sector tape shows weakness in Communication Services compared to leaders like Technology and Energy.

55%
Oct 06, 2026 HOLD

NFLX presents a mixed profile. Fundamentally, the company demonstrates strong profitability with a 28.2% margin and a robust 49.5% ROE, trading at a reasonable 21.2x P/E. Revenue and EPS growth remain positive at 13.4% and 11.1% respectively. However, the lack of analyst consensus and the absence of clear positive catalysts leave the stock without a fundamental driver to reverse its recent 31.2% six-month decline. The valuation is attractive relative to historical norms, but the lack of momentum suggests caution is warranted until a clear trend reversal emerges. Technically, the stock is in a strong downtrend, trading significantly below its SMA20 ($72.52), SMA50 ($75.46), and SMA200 ($83.80). With an RSI of 34.71, the stock is approaching oversold territory but has not yet signaled a bottom. The price is currently near the lower Bollinger Band ($64.93), suggesting potential for a mean-reversion bounce. A move above the $73.87 resistance level would be required to confirm a shift in sentiment, while a breach of the $66.54 support level would signal further downside risk.

55%
Oct 05, 2026 HOLD

Fundamentals present a mixed profile. NFLX shows strong profitability with a 28.2% margin and 49.5% ROE, but growth is decelerating with a 13.4% YoY revenue increase and 11.1% EPS growth. The stock is trading at a significant discount to its 52-week high ($124.86), currently at only 3% of that range, suggesting a deep correction. While the P/E of 21.1x is reasonable, the lack of recent headlines and a neutral macro backdrop for quality balance sheets suggests a period of consolidation. Technicals indicate a STRONG_DOWNTREND with the price significantly below the SMA20 ($72.92), SMA50 ($75.50), and SMA200 ($83.93). The RSI of 30.47 suggests the stock is approaching oversold territory, while the MACD remains negative (-2.6551). Volume is extremely low (0.03x of 20d avg), indicating a lack of conviction in either direction. The price is currently hovering near the lower Bollinger Band ($65.30). Confirmation of a reversal is needed before a long entry, as the trend remains bearish.

65%
Oct 02, 2026 HOLD
50%
Oct 01, 2026 HOLD

NFLX presents a mixed profile. Fundamentally, the company maintains strong profitability with a 28.2% margin and a robust 49.5% ROE, trading at a reasonable 21.7x P/E. Revenue and EPS growth remain positive at 13.4% and 11.1% respectively. However, the stock is significantly disconnected from its $92.82 price target, and the lack of recent positive catalysts leaves the valuation gap unbridged. The absence of consensus analyst updates suggests a period of institutional wait-and-see following the July earnings cycle. Technically, the stock is in a strong downtrend, trading at $68.43, which is near the lower Bollinger Band ($66.60). With an RSI of 33.47, the stock is approaching oversold territory, suggesting potential for a mean-reversion bounce. However, the price remains well below the SMA20 ($74.31) and SMA200 ($84.21), and the MACD histogram remains negative (-0.7013), indicating persistent bearish momentum. A move above the $73.87 resistance level would be required to signal a trend reversal, while a breach of the $66.60 lower band could trigger further downside.

60%
Sep 30, 2026 HOLD

NFLX fundamentals present a mixed picture. While the company maintains a robust 35.0% profit margin and solid 15.9% YoY revenue growth, the valuation at 34.3x P/E is aggressive given the current 27.5% six-month drawdown. The lack of analyst consensus and recent news leaves a vacuum of sentiment, making it difficult to justify a directional conviction despite the low 0.7 P/S ratio. The recent flurry of SEC filings in July 2026 suggests active corporate housekeeping, but without clear guidance or market-moving catalysts, the fundamental case remains neutral. Technically, the stock is in a strong downtrend, trading significantly below its 20, 50, and 200-day SMAs. With the price at $69.67, it is hovering near the lower Bollinger Band ($67.00), suggesting potential for a short-term mean reversion. However, the RSI of 35.89 and negative MACD momentum indicate that selling pressure remains dominant. A move above the $73.87 resistance is required to signal a trend reversal, while a breach of the $68.88 support level would likely trigger further downside. Given the extreme proximity to the 52-week low (8% of range), a wait-and-see approach is prudent.

55%